Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Poll: Half believe 'country's best years are behind us'

A Gallup poll released Wednesday showed that entering the new year, half of all Americans believe the country's best years are in the past. Republicans are particularly discouraged, with nearly three-quarters saying that America's peak came before 2013.

The survey found that while 50 percent say the country's best years have passed by, 47 percent believe that greater times are to come. There is a stark partisan divide, however: While just under seven in 10 Democrats agree that "the country's best years are ahead of us," 74 percent of Republicans say they have already elapsed. Independents are also pessimistic about the future, although less so — 55 percent say the country's best years have passed, while 43 percent say they are still ahead.

Those surveyed were also split on their predictions for 2013's economic outlook. Just one-third of respondents said 2013 would be a year of economic prosperity, while 65 percent said they expected economic difficulty. But at the same time, more than half — 53 percent — predicted a year of full or increasing employment. Just 42 percent said the economy would lose jobs in 2013.

Americans also believe that prices would rise at a reasonable rate in the coming year, with 57 percent agreeing with such a prediction. Of those surveyed, 42 percent said prices would rise at a higher-than-normal rate.

"The 65 percent of Americans who predict 2013 will be a year of economic difficulty is one of the more negative responses to this question since Gallup first asked it in 1965," said Gallup's Frank Newport in a statement.

Americans surveyed before Tuesday's "fiscal cliff" deal also accurately predicted that taxes would rise in 2013, with 82 percent saying it was more likely they would rise than fall. A broad majority — 85 percent — also predicted the federal budget would not be balanced in 2013.

Americans also took a pessimistic look at American power, with three-quarters predicting a year of international discord and 57 percent saying the United States' global influence would wane. Those surveyed also see increasing violence at home, with 68 percent predicting a rise in crime rates.

"About two-thirds of Americans believe 2013 will be a year of rising crime rates, a more negative prediction than in either 1999 or 1998," Newport said. "Americans' views about crime this year were possibly affected by the tragic school shooting on Dec. 14 in Newtown, Conn., the day on which the current poll began."

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